This is a tribute to Bob.
I am near tears, frustrated by my chances of success. I fear they are nil. As you may have surmised, by my spotty attendance here, I have been either over at bobsadviceforstocks, rereading his notes, again, or I have been watching the market on TV. Mostly what I did over the weekend was get ready to pick my first stock.
I copied a full page of notes, off his Podcast, listing click by click where I was to go, at the four websites he uses to research his stock picks. I spent Saturday going through them all, figuring out how to read everything. Then, all of yesterday, I practiced looking up stocks and rating them, according to the various statistics.
It was just like looking for a man. Nothing was good enough. I got all the way through this one stock, which wasn’t in a sector I feel good about but whose numbers looked great, only to discover from some other source, the mention of bankruptcy. Nowhere had I seen evidence of that. The only thing I can figure is that they are being sued and that their possible fines haven’t been addressed yet.
I have a new-found respect for Bob’s ability to pick a stock because, to me, it looks impossible. The sectors which are in favor, like banks or software, slip in and out of popularity so fast you really have to be on top of where the economy’s at. And these quarterlies; if guidance is off, sometimes it doesn’t seem to matter but other times it does. There’s no hard and fast rule. You have to get a feel for the mood, constantly take the temperature of the market. And it seems like they feed off each other, spreading rumors. First there’s plenty of oil. Prices drop. Then with the mere suggestion that there might not be enough, prices hike. Exxon, after robbing us all year, reported bigger earnings than a company has ever made: 36.13 BILLION last year.
Bob’s been doing this for 37 years so maybe I should give myself a little more time. I think, once I familiarize myself with the names of these obscure companies, I won’t waste so much time researching the wrong ones. The only good thing about those hours I spent with the wrong stock was just like the three years of dating I did. You get a better idea of what you’re looking for, where to find it, and how to recognize it. Now if I can just cram 37 years into the next month.
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